Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAO21429
Tondeuse à cheveux - Kemei - KM-2299 - USB Rechargeable - 5W - 180 min autonomie
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
24
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+140.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
16
≈ 5.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 164
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAAO21429
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 164 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse à cheveux - Kemei - KM-2299 - USB Rechargeable - 5W - 180 min autonomie · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 24 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 16 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (595 days of history, 183 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 24 units · prev 4w = 30 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 7.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 28.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 67.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 59.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 163.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 26.8K |