Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAO21429
Tondeuse à cheveux - Kemei - KM-2299 - USB Rechargeable - 5W - 180 min autonomie
midtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 69.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
18
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 151
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAAAO21429
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 150 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse à cheveux - Kemei - KM-2299 - USB Rechargeable - 5W - 180 min autonomie · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -69.4% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (651 days of history, 211 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 36 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 73.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 149.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 22.7K |