Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAN91558
Sac cosmétique de voyage en cuir PU pour les femmes capacité organisateur Pochette de rangement de sac de maquillage de grande cap
longtail
3P
PETITE MAROQUINERIE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAAN91558
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 39 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac cosmétique de voyage en cuir PU pour les femmes capacité organisateur Pochette de rangement de sac de maquillage de grande cap · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (805 days of history, 10 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.54 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 13.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 2.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 10.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 39.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.8K |