Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAN85725
Tondeuse 4 en 1 - KEMEI - KM-2715 - Rechargeable - Lames en acier inoxydable - Utilisation sans fil
longtail
3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-66.7%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
53
≈ 62.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 95
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAN85725
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse 4 en 1 - KEMEI - KM-2715 - Rechargeable - Lames en acier inoxydable - Utilisation sans fil · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 53 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (854 days of history, 72 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.21 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 67.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.4K |