Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAN82922
Télécommande Universelle - TCL - Compatible Android TV 4K UHD - Vocale - Noir - Remplacement facile
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRES TV - VIDEO - SON
Last 4 weeks demand
37
▲ 94.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
168
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAAN82922
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 146 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Télécommande Universelle - TCL - Compatible Android TV 4K UHD - Vocale - Noir - Remplacement facile · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 37 units, trending up +94.7% · on-hand 175 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (959 days of history, 266 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.92 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 37 units · prev 4w = 19 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 50.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 15.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 43.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 146.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |