Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAN72268
L'Oréal Paris - Bond Repair Shampoing 200 ML
midtail
1P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 22.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+16.7%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)
Current stock
17
≈ 3.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 63
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAN72268
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 106 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
L'Oréal Paris - Bond Repair Shampoing 200 ML · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -22.2% · on-hand 17 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (840 days of history, 73 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.92 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 106.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.7K |