Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAN72159
Pré-shampoing - L'Oréal Paris - SOS Repair - 200 ml - Cheveux abîmés - Nutrition intense
midtail
1P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
30
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
30
≈ 7.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 80
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-20
AAAAN72159
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 181 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pré-shampoing - L'Oréal Paris - SOS Repair - 200 ml - Cheveux abîmés - Nutrition intense · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +20.0% · on-hand 30 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (952 days of history, 161 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 49.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 41.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 180.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.5K |