Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAN18167
Forcapil Pack 180 Gélules + 1 Boite de 60 Gélules
midtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
108
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 292
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAN18167
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 158 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Forcapil Pack 180 Gélules + 1 Boite de 60 Gélules · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 126 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (903 days of history, 210 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 78.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 158.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 46.2K |