Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAN18167
Forcapil Pack 180 Gélules + 1 Boite de 60 Gélules
midtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
14
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
+133.3%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)
Current stock
423
≈ 104.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 313
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-09
AAAAN18167
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Forcapil Pack 180 Gélules + 1 Boite de 60 Gélules · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 423 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (847 days of history, 221 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | — units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |