Demand Forecast

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Vichy Capital soleil Crème Anti-brillance + Après Soleil 100ml Pack
SKU · AAAAN18162

Vichy Capital soleil Crème Anti-brillance + Après Soleil 100ml Pack

longtail 1P SOLAIRES
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

10
▼ 52.4% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+400.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)

Current stock

1
≈ 0.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 147
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAAAN18162

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 75 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Vichy Capital soleil Crème Anti-brillance + Après Soleil 100ml Pack · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -52.4% · on-hand 1 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (840 days of history, 63 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 21 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)29.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)75.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 11.1K