Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAM68675
Cartouche filtrante - Aquaphor - A5 - Capacité 350 L - Couleur Blanc - Type Filtrante
longtail
3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-28.6%
vs same 4w last year (7 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 66
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAAAM68675
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cartouche filtrante - Aquaphor - A5 - Capacité 350 L - Couleur Blanc - Type Filtrante · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -16.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (847 days of history, 88 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 20.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 60.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.0K |