Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAM68675
Cartouche filtrante - Aquaphor - A5 - Capacité 350 L - Couleur Blanc - Type Filtrante
longtail
3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
60
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 65
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAAM68675
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 78 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cartouche filtrante - Aquaphor - A5 - Capacité 350 L - Couleur Blanc - Type Filtrante · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 64 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (903 days of history, 99 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): 2 weeks → past demand likely understated
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 42.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 77.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.0K |