Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAM22329
Ensemble de moules à pâtisserie - TEFAL - J174S274 - 3 pièces - Acier au carbone - Noir
longtail
3P
USTENSILES PATISSERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 7 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 171
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-25
AAAAM22329
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 53 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ensemble de moules à pâtisserie - TEFAL - J174S274 - 3 pièces - Acier au carbone - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (819 days of history, 40 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.51 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 53.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.2K |