Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Ensemble de moules à pâtisserie - TEFAL - J174S274 - 3 pièces - Acier au carbone - Noir
SKU · AAAAM22329

Ensemble de moules à pâtisserie - TEFAL - J174S274 - 3 pièces - Acier au carbone - Noir

longtail 3P USTENSILES PATISSERIE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

8
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 175
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-18

AAAAM22329

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 11 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Ensemble de moules à pâtisserie - TEFAL - J174S274 - 3 pièces - Acier au carbone - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 8 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (861 days of history, 46 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.50 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.3 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks1.2 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months4.8 units
Optimistic — next week0.6 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)2.6 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)11.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)0.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.0K