Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAL64429
Coiffeuses, Bibliothèque et Table de Chevet - Finition Blanc Doux
longtail
3P
MEUBLE DE CHAMBRE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 245
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-25
AAAAL64429
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 53 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Coiffeuses, Bibliothèque et Table de Chevet - Finition Blanc Doux · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (903 days of history, 26 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.79 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 23.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 53.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.0K |