Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAL51411
Wireless Récepteur X6 Récepteur mains libres Bluetooth sans fil Adaptateur de musique audio de voiture Lecteur MP3
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 73.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
978
≈ 947.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 33
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAL51411
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 104 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Wireless Récepteur X6 Récepteur mains libres Bluetooth sans fil Adaptateur de musique audio de voiture Lecteur MP3 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -73.9% · on-hand 978 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (854 days of history, 94 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.35 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 46 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 38.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 17.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 104.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.5K |