Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH96760
Rideau Moustiquaire - Magnetic - 210x80cm - PVC - Gris - Fermeture automatique
longtail
3P
RIDEAU - STORE - ACCESSOIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 46.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-76.7%
vs same 4w last year (30 units)
Current stock
1
≈ 1.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 90
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAAH96760
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Rideau Moustiquaire - Magnetic - 210x80cm - PVC - Gris - Fermeture automatique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -46.2% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (742 days of history, 45 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 21.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 67.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.1K |