Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH95994
TERREAU UNIVERSEL TOURBATY 20L
hero
3P
JARDINAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
67
▲ 17.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+59.5%
vs same 4w last year (42 units)
Current stock
2
≈ 0.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAH95994
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 276 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TERREAU UNIVERSEL TOURBATY 20L · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 67 units, trending up +17.5% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (854 days of history, 692 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 67 units · prev 4w = 57 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 39.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 105.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 20.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 96.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 276.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.7K |