Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH82046
Brosse de toilettage pour chat et chien,pour la perte et le toilettage, GRIS
longtail
3P
MATERIEL DE TOILETTAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
42
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 29
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-24
AAAAH82046
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 58 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Brosse de toilettage pour chat et chien,pour la perte et le toilettage, GRIS · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +66.7% · on-hand 42 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (847 days of history, 37 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.45 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 57.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.7K |