Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH79605
Récepteur numérique - Revolution - Galaxy ZE-H7 - WiFi intégré - Bluetooth - HDMI
longtail
3P
LECTEUR - ENREGISTREUR VIDEO
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-30.8%
vs same 4w last year (13 units)
Current stock
37
≈ 25.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 219
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAAH79605
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 58 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Récepteur numérique - Revolution - Galaxy ZE-H7 - WiFi intégré - Bluetooth - HDMI · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 37 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (560 days of history, 60 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 17.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 57.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.7K |