Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH74343
XIAOMI Mi Desktop Monitor 21,45 pouces avec résolution FHD 1080P 75Hz - Noir
midtail
1P
ECRAN - ENCEINTE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
55
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
55
≈ 12.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 667
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAAH74343
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 156 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
XIAOMI Mi Desktop Monitor 21,45 pouces avec résolution FHD 1080P 75Hz - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -16.7% · on-hand 55 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (896 days of history, 58 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.85 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 35.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 15.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 54.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 156.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 104.2K |