Demand Forecast

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Herbal Essences Crème de Soin Sans Rinçage Sans Sulfates à l'Aloe Vera et à l'Avocat - 180ml
SKU · AAAAH69637

Herbal Essences Crème de Soin Sans Rinçage Sans Sulfates à l'Aloe Vera et à l'Avocat - 180ml

longtail 1P + 3P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

50
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14

1P stock

5
≈ 13.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14

Unit price

MAD 35
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-30

AAAAH69637

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 53 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Herbal Essences Crème de Soin Sans Rinçage Sans Sulfates à l'Aloe Vera et à l'Avocat - 180ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 5 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1001 days of history, 48 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks3.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months8.7 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4
4.4 units
Optimistic — next week2.8 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)13.9 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)53.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.9K