Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH69616
Crest Detifrice 3D White Clinic Ultra Fresh White - 75 ml
longtail
1P + 3P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 42.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
26
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
11
≈ 17.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-11
AAAAH69616
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 106 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Crest Detifrice 3D White Clinic Ultra Fresh White - 75 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +42.9% · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1008 days of history, 87 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.55 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 19.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 106.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.6K |