Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH60775
Écouteurs filaires compatibles iPhone – Son HI-FI avec microphone et contrôle intégré (connexion Bluetooth)
longtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 76.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+200.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
19
≈ 13.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAH60775
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 74 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs filaires compatibles iPhone – Son HI-FI avec microphone et contrôle intégré (connexion Bluetooth) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -76.9% · on-hand 19 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (882 days of history, 120 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 74.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.7K |