Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH60775
Écouteurs filaires compatibles iPhone – Son HI-FI avec microphone et contrôle intégré (connexion Bluetooth)
longtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 8.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
17
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 31
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAAH60775
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 85 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs filaires compatibles iPhone – Son HI-FI avec microphone et contrôle intégré (connexion Bluetooth) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -8.3% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (938 days of history, 140 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): 1 week → past demand likely understated
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 44.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 84.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.6K |