Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH60098
Écouteurs sans fil - M19 PRO - Bluetooth 5.3 - Étanche IPX5 - Anti-bruit actif
longtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
-94.7%
vs same 4w last year (19 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 57
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-25
AAAAH60098
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 99 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs sans fil - M19 PRO - Bluetooth 5.3 - Étanche IPX5 - Anti-bruit actif · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (847 days of history, 56 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 23.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 99.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.7K |