Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
ADDAX - Vernis à Ongles Expert Solution – Anti-Mycoses, Protection Durable – Résultats en 4 Semaines
SKU · AAAAH59649

ADDAX - Vernis à Ongles Expert Solution – Anti-Mycoses, Protection Durable – Résultats en 4 Semaines

longtail 3P PARAPHARMACIE LIBRE-SERVICE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

8
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+33.3%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)

Current stock

159
≈ 132.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 114
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAAAH59649

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 75 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

ADDAX - Vernis à Ongles Expert Solution – Anti-Mycoses, Protection Durable – Résultats en 4 Semaines · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 159 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (819 days of history, 98 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 12 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)74.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.5K