Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH57596
Presse-Ail à Bascule Professionnel – 100% Acier Inoxydable – Design Ergonomique – Nettoyage Facile & Compatible Lave-Vaisselle
hero
3P
USTENSILES DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
44
▼ 61.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+780.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
3
≈ 0.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 7
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAAAH57596
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 497 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Presse-Ail à Bascule Professionnel – 100% Acier Inoxydable – Design Ergonomique – Nettoyage Facile & Compatible Lave-Vaisselle · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 44 units, trending down -61.7% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (861 days of history, 933 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 44 units · prev 4w = 115 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 22.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 78.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 174.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 43.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 202.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 497.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 13.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |