Demand Forecast

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Suspension lustre Vintage Corde Edison + Lampe à Filaments ST64 LED offerte
SKU · AAAAH55696

Suspension lustre Vintage Corde Edison + Lampe à Filaments ST64 LED offerte

longtail 3P LUMINAIRE D'INTERIEUR
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

+50.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)

Current stock

174
≈ 210.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 61
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-25

AAAAH55696

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 63 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Suspension lustre Vintage Corde Edison + Lampe à Filaments ST64 LED offerte · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 174 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (889 days of history, 23 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months17.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)17.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)63.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.9K