Demand Forecast

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Bouillotte Électrique Rechargeable – Sac Chauffant Douceur – Chaleur Durable – Système de Sécurité Automatique – Coloris Aléatoire
SKU · AAAAH46978

Bouillotte Électrique Rechargeable – Sac Chauffant Douceur – Chaleur Durable – Système de Sécurité Automatique – Coloris Aléatoire

longtail 3P BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+33.3%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)

Current stock

48
≈ 29.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 54
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02

AAAAH46978

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 119 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Bouillotte Électrique Rechargeable – Sac Chauffant Douceur – Chaleur Durable – Système de Sécurité Automatique – Coloris Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 48 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (784 days of history, 165 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.42 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 6 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)28.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)119.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.5K