Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH43210
Casque Bluetooth - P9 - Sans fil - Bleu - 400 mAh - Anti-éclaboussement
midtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 52.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-60.0%
vs same 4w last year (30 units)
Current stock
722
≈ 164.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAAH43210
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque Bluetooth - P9 - Sans fil - Bleu - 400 mAh - Anti-éclaboussement · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -52.0% · on-hand 722 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (903 days of history, 271 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 25 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 20.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 49.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 51.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 147.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.0K |