Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH40155
PATE CHAT AU BŒUF 100G LES REPAS PLAISIR
midtail
3P
ALIMENTATION
Last 4 weeks demand
32
▲ 6.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
338
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 7
avg of last 10 sells · latest 2026-09-10
AAAAH40155
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 95 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
PATE CHAT AU BŒUF 100G LES REPAS PLAISIR · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 32 units, trending up +6.7% · on-hand 33 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (231 days of history, 153 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 32 units · prev 4w = 30 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 18.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 7.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 95.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 622 |