Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH38919
RUBAN ISOLANT NOIR 0.13X19-9M RI131909N
longtail
3P
ELECTRICITE - DOMOTIQUE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
165
Σ Stock across 6 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 4
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAH38919
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
RUBAN ISOLANT NOIR 0.13X19-9M RI131909N · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 165 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (910 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |