Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH38898
Drap‑housse bébé – 60x120 cm – Bleu glacier – Tissu doux & protection anti‑allergique
longtail
3P
SOMMEIL BEBE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
19
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 51
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-10
AAAAH38898
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 46 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Drap‑housse bébé – 60x120 cm – Bleu glacier – Tissu doux & protection anti‑allergique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, stable demand · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (931 days of history, 29 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.46 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 2.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 45.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.3K |