Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH38589
Tondeuse - Kemei - KM-5021 - Rechargeable - 3 en 1 - Autonomie 40 min
hero
3P
COIFFURE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
34
▼ 65.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 95
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAAAH38589
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 435 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse - Kemei - KM-5021 - Rechargeable - 3 en 1 - Autonomie 40 min · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 34 units, trending down -65.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (945 days of history, 1,106 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.29 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 34 units · prev 4w = 99 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 46.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 190.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 17.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 107.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 435.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 41.2K |