Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH38589
Tondeuse - Kemei - KM-5021 - Rechargeable - 3 en 1 - Autonomie 40 min
hero
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
24
▼ 78.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-81.0%
vs same 4w last year (126 units)
Current stock
29
≈ 2.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 93
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAH38589
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 392 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse - Kemei - KM-5021 - Rechargeable - 3 en 1 - Autonomie 40 min · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 24 units, trending down -78.8% · on-hand 29 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (889 days of history, 1,182 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.33 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 24 units · prev 4w = 113 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 9.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 42.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 105.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 27.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 151.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 391.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 36.6K |