Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH38302
Accessoires de jeu - CITYTEK - Set Gaming 4 Pièces - Clavier Filaire - Casque Son Parfait - Souris 3 Boutons
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRES JEUX VIDEO - ACCESSOIRES CONSOLE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 72.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
63
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
18
≈ 10.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 135
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-16
AAAAH38302
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 97 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Accessoires de jeu - CITYTEK - Set Gaming 4 Pièces - Clavier Filaire - Casque Son Parfait - Souris 3 Boutons · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -72.7% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (805 days of history, 123 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): 2 weeks → past demand likely understated
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 34.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 96.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.1K |