Demand Forecast

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Bouilloire - MGS - MEK-1121A - 1,7L - 2200W - Design élégant
SKU · AAAAH37936

Bouilloire - MGS - MEK-1121A - 1,7L - 2200W - Design élégant

longtail 1P PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

-80.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)

Current stock

12
≈ 7.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 79
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-13

AAAAH37936

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 112 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Bouilloire - MGS - MEK-1121A - 1,7L - 2200W - Design élégant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 12 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (826 days of history, 42 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.31 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months28.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)29.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)112.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.9K