Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAAH37516
Hub USB Adaptateur Conception à 4 Ports USB 3.0 à Haute Vitesse
longtail
3P
PERIPHERIQUE PC
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-66.7%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
981
≈ 1643.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 38
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAH37516
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 55 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Hub USB Adaptateur Conception à 4 Ports USB 3.0 à Haute Vitesse · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 981 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (896 days of history, 23 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.48 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 13.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 3.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 55.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.1K |