Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH29206
The Purest Solutions Ecran Solaire Protection Toucher Sec Mattifiant et Hydratant Pour Peau grasse SPF 50+ 50ml
longtail
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 166.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
370
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 189
avg of last 22 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAAH29206
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 70 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
The Purest Solutions Ecran Solaire Protection Toucher Sec Mattifiant et Hydratant Pour Peau grasse SPF 50+ 50ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +166.7% · on-hand 370 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 25 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.53 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 21.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.2K |