Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH28763
Distributeur de savon liquide - 350 ml - Pratique - Design élégant - Économie de savon
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE SALLE DE BAIN
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
28
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 37
avg of last 27 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAAH28763
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 154 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Distributeur de savon liquide - 350 ml - Pratique - Design élégant - Économie de savon · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 28 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (882 days of history, 29 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.87 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 32.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 154.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.7K |