Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH27753
ULTRA DOUX HAIR FOOD MASQUE NOURISSANT MULTI- USAGES À LA BANANE 390 ML
hero
1P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
44
▼ 45.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-53.7%
vs same 4w last year (95 units)
Current stock
4
≈ 0.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 70
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAH27753
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 335 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ULTRA DOUX HAIR FOOD MASQUE NOURISSANT MULTI- USAGES À LA BANANE 390 ML · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 44 units, trending down -45.0% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (924 days of history, 1,333 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 44 units · prev 4w = 80 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 16.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 59.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 128.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 28.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 124.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 335.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 9.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.5K |