Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH27753
ULTRA DOUX HAIR FOOD MASQUE NOURISSANT MULTI- USAGES À LA BANANE 390 ML
hero
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
37
▲ 42.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
963
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
854
≈ 25.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 67
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAAH27753
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 555 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ULTRA DOUX HAIR FOOD MASQUE NOURISSANT MULTI- USAGES À LA BANANE 390 ML · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 37 units, trending up +42.3% · on-hand 854 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1043 days of history, 927 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 37 units · prev 4w = 26 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 171.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 28.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 17.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 74.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 555.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 16.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 37.1K |