Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH16650
Heinrich's - Friteuse sans huile 9L - Germany- Air fryer tactile
longtail
3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)
Current stock
3
≈ 2.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 1.3K
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-16
AAAAH16650
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 103 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Heinrich's - Friteuse sans huile 9L - Germany- Air fryer tactile · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (868 days of history, 8 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.64 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 103.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 131.8K |