Demand Forecast

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Pack Shampoing & Après-Shampoing - INECTO - Noix de Coco - 500ML - Hydratant - Réparateur
SKU · AAAAH09594

Pack Shampoing & Après-Shampoing - INECTO - Noix de Coco - 500ML - Hydratant - Réparateur

longtail 3P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

7
▼ 46.2% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

36
≈ 23.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 74
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAAAH09594

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 120 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Pack Shampoing & Après-Shampoing - INECTO - Noix de Coco - 500ML - Hydratant - Réparateur · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -46.2% · on-hand 36 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (924 days of history, 155 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 13 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks11.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months35.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week9.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)39.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)119.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.9K