Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH09289
Ballon de football - DECATHLON - First Kick - Taille 5 - Jaune - Pour jeunes joueurs
longtail
3P
FOOTBALL
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
237
Σ Stock across 6 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 36
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAAAH09289
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ballon de football - DECATHLON - First Kick - Taille 5 - Jaune - Pour jeunes joueurs · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 237 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (917 days of history, 31 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 53.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.9K |