Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH07407
Manette PS4 - PlayStation - DualShock - Sans Fil - Batterie Rechargeable - Bluetooth - Noir
longtail
3P
CONSOLES
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+1000.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
44
≈ 20.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 137
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAAAH07407
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 114 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Manette PS4 - PlayStation - DualShock - Sans Fil - Batterie Rechargeable - Bluetooth - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +57.1% · on-hand 44 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (931 days of history, 218 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 34.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 114.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.6K |