Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAH06891
Tonique - REVOX - ZITCARE AHA.BHA.PHA. - 250ml - Vegan - Pour problèmes de tâches
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 25.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-75.0%
vs same 4w last year (20 units)
Current stock
75
≈ 25.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 64
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29
AAAAH06891
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 110 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tonique - REVOX - ZITCARE AHA.BHA.PHA. - 250ml - Vegan - Pour problèmes de tâches · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +25.0% · on-hand 75 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (938 days of history, 147 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 110.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |