Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG94340
CAFETIERE INOX 6T
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
35
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
13
≈ 45.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 85
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-20
AAAAG94340
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 51 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CAFETIERE INOX 6T · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 14 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (952 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.57 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 27.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.3K |