Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG93287
BOITE DE RANGEMENT CHAUSSURES FEMME 08 1110
longtail
1P + 3P
REPAS NOMADE
Last 4 weeks demand
19
▲ 1800.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
152
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
38
≈ 34.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 30
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAAAG93287
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 162 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
BOITE DE RANGEMENT CHAUSSURES FEMME 08 1110 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending up +1800.0% · on-hand 38 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (931 days of history, 41 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 22.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 71.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 162.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.9K |