Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG93233
MOULE A PATISSERIE EN METAL EEJ
longtail
1P + 3P
USTENSILES PATISSERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
99
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-11-03
1P stock
35
≈ 621.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-11-03
Unit price
MAD 8
avg of last 8 sells · latest 2026-08-28
AAAAG93233
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-26 · Total forecast: 21 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
MOULE A PATISSERIE EN METAL EEJ · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 35 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (987 days of history, 5 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 0.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 20.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 156 |