Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG93232
Moule à gâteau - Non spécifié - Cœur - 25x25 cm - Vert pâle - Antiadhésif
longtail
1P
USTENSILES PATISSERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
3
≈ 7.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-18
AAAAG93232
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 49 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Moule à gâteau - Non spécifié - Cœur - 25x25 cm - Vert pâle - Antiadhésif · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (903 days of history, 52 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.27 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 23.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 12.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 49.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.2K |