Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG91544
Outils de jardinage TG2101006
longtail
3P
OUTILS D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
Last 4 weeks demand
27
▲ 2600.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
18
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 36
avg of last 11 sells · latest 2026-04-27
AAAAG91544
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 79 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Outils de jardinage TG2101006 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 27 units, trending up +2600.0% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (707 days of history, 36 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.08 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 27 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 23.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 78.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.8K |