Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG91471
Creatine Monohydrate Micronized 300 g Cola - Force & Masse Musculaire
longtail
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-80.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 177
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-27
AAAAG91471
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 48 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Creatine Monohydrate Micronized 300 g Cola - Force & Masse Musculaire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (672 days of history, 11 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 13.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 3.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 48.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.5K |