Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG89232
Tondeuse Xiaomi UniBlade
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 250.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
7
≈ 9.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 207
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-24
AAAAG89232
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 55 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse Xiaomi UniBlade · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +250.0% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (945 days of history, 9 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.11 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 15.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 55.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.5K |