Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG89146
Denwa Presse-agrumes électrique 2 en 1 160W
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
23
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
3
≈ 7.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 304
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-15
AAAAG89146
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 53 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Denwa Presse-agrumes électrique 2 en 1 160W · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (868 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.02 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 12.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 52.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.1K |