Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG89142
DENWA - Robot Petrin - 5L - 1300W - SM-421AB - Rouge
midtail
1P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 97.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
1
≈ 0.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 435
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-22
AAAAG89142
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 162 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
DENWA - Robot Petrin - 5L - 1300W - SM-421AB - Rouge · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -97.8% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (945 days of history, 68 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.43 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 45 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 44.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 13.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 52.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 161.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 70.3K |